SOL Price Prediction: How High Will It Go After a 55% Q4 Correction?

#SOL

• Technical Support at Key Level: SOL is testing the lower Bollinger Band near $125, with a positive MACD divergence suggesting selling pressure may be easing. The immediate hurdle is the 20-day Moving Average at $134.
• Fundamental Crosscurrents: Bullish institutional adoption news (Ondo Finance's $2B tokenized assets) contrasts with lingering security concerns and a deep Q4 correction, creating mixed market sentiment.
• Path to Recovery: A sustained move above $134 is needed to signal a shift. The primary recovery target sits in the $150-$160 range, with potential for higher levels if large-scale real-world asset adoption materializes on the network.

SOL Price Prediction

Technical Analysis: SOL Shows Signs of Consolidation Near Lower Bollinger Band

As of December 16, 2025, SOL is trading at $125.87, positioned just above the lower Bollinger Band at $124.98. The price remains below the 20-day moving average of $134.33, indicating a short-term bearish trend. The MACD histogram is positive at 0.2562, suggesting a potential weakening of downward momentum, although the signal line remains in negative territory.

"The current technical setup shows SOL attempting to find a floor," says BTCC financial analyst Mia. "The proximity to the lower Bollinger Band often acts as a support level, while the positive MACD divergence hints at possible near-term stabilization or a minor rebound. However, a sustained MOVE above the $134 moving average is needed to signal a more convincing shift in trend."

Market Sentiment: Mixed Fundamentals Amid Institutional Adoption and Security Concerns

Recent headlines present a complex picture for Solana. The announcement by ONDO Finance to bring $2 billion in tokenized assets to the network is a significant bullish catalyst, highlighting growing institutional utility. Conversely, the association with the Upbit wallet hack, despite Binance's denial of delayed response, continues to cast a shadow over ecosystem security narratives.

"The fundamental backdrop is dichotomous," notes BTCC financial analyst Mia. "The Ondo news is a powerful validation of Solana's infrastructure for real-world assets, which is a long-term positive. However, the market is still digesting the Q4 correction and security-related headlines, which tempers immediate bullish enthusiasm. The SEC's move to review tokenized stock proposals is a broader regulatory tailwind for the sector."

Factors Influencing SOL’s Price

Ondo Finance to Bring $2B in Tokenized Bonds, ETFs to Solana

Ondo Finance, a leader in real-world asset tokenization, is set to migrate approximately $2 billion worth of tokenized assets—including bonds, ETFs, and equities—to the Solana blockchain by early 2026. The move capitalizes on Solana's high throughput and low fees to streamline transactions for institutional and qualified investors.

The integration will enable native operation of yield-bearing instruments like U.S. Treasury-backed OUSG tokens within Solana's DeFi ecosystem. This strategic expansion bridges traditional finance with crypto markets, positioning Solana as a critical infrastructure for compliant RWA transactions.

Binance Denies Delayed Response in Upbit Solana Wallet Hack

Binance has forcefully rejected claims of inadequate action following the security breach of Upbit's Solana hot wallet. The exchange asserts its teams acted immediately to freeze suspicious funds and collaborate with law enforcement.

South Korean investigators reported only 17% of flagged assets were frozen, but Binance maintains additional verification was required before full compliance with the freeze request. The hack resulted in losses of approximately 44.5 billion won, prompting Upbit to move 99% of assets to cold storage.

The dispute highlights the challenges of cross-exchange coordination during security incidents. Binance emphasizes its ongoing cooperation with authorities while defending its response timeline.

Solana Price Stabilizes Following Extended Downtrend

Solana's native token SOL shows signs of stabilization after a prolonged decline, with technical indicators suggesting weakening selling pressure. The asset is currently testing key support levels, prompting speculation about a potential trend reversal.

Market observers note the slowing momentum in downward price action, though the broader crypto market sentiment remains cautious. SOL's performance continues to attract attention as one of the more actively traded altcoins across major exchanges.

Can SOL Price Recover Despite a 55% Q4 Correction?

Solana's SOL token faces a critical juncture in late 2025 as robust on-chain activity clashes with bearish market sentiment. While the network demonstrates unparalleled throughput—consistently handling nearly 1,000 transactions per second—its price action reflects broader macroeconomic caution rather than fundamental weakness.

Daily transaction volumes averaging 80 million underscore Solana's dominance as the most actively used blockchain. Lily Liu, Solana's ecosystem president, claims the network has processed more activity in 2025 than the rest of crypto combined—a testament to its scalability.

Institutional adoption accelerates the bullish case. JP Morgan's recent tokenized bond issuance on Solana signals growing real-world financial integration, reinforcing the network's credibility amid price volatility.

SEC Seeks Public Comment on Nasdaq's Tokenized Stock Proposal

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has opened public feedback channels regarding Nasdaq's proposal to list tokenized equities. The move signals regulatory willingness to explore blockchain integration within traditional market frameworks.

Approval would enable tokenized shares to trade identically to conventional stocks, leveraging blockchain for faster settlements. Galaxy Digital's recent tokenization of its Nasdaq-listed stock on Solana exemplifies this convergence of traditional finance and digital assets.

Industry response remains divided. While organizations like SIFMA endorse the efficiency gains, concerns persist about regulatory alignment. The SEC's review will examine technical implementation, investor protections, and market structure implications.

How High Will SOL Price Go?

Based on the current technical and fundamental landscape, a precise high is challenging to pinpoint, but we can outline a probable path and key levels. The immediate target is a recovery towards the 20-day moving average at $134.33. A decisive break and hold above this level could open the door to test the upper Bollinger Band near $143.68. The major resistance zone that would confirm a trend reversal lies between $150 and $160, which would represent a recovery of approximately 20-27% from current levels.